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  • gapala
    09-05 08:15 PM
    Based on my research on net and discussion with economic savy friends and my own limited knowledge in economics, by any calculation, real-estate in India is going to be in deep trouble. It will be a uncalculated gamble to invest in realty at current prices in India just because the commitment is large and long term with 0 visibility

    Even in NRI perspective, set aside the low GDP of india and assume that it will grow beyond wildest dreams in next 20 years (atleast I hope they will control the inflation), the prices are still beyond the Purchasing Power Parity between nations for example US and India. US PPP is around $41500 and stand at 8th position among world countries. Now all 7 countries above US are so called non attractive for NRI's. Where does india stand? 140th position with a Purchasing Power Parity of $3300. Only poor south african, south asian countries are below India in the list.

    http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_gdp_pur_pow_par_percap-purchasing-power-parity-per-capita

    Assume that at some point in future you will need to realize the investment say 5 years from now or even 10 years. Who will buy it from you? only 2% of indian families potentially can earn $200,000 in life time. Given this, I think you can only hope that another NRI would earn and save enough at that time to buy from you paying more that what you have invested + (alternate investment value).

    There are estimated 182000 including the ones waiting for approvals real estate flats and complexes are being built all across india's major cities expanding into suburbs. As someone said, NRI's invest in majority of the projects even before 10% of development is completed. These projects will be completed in next 5 to 7 years. Beyond that new projects that may come up in future which will potentially increase the supply combined with poor purchasing power of local folks and corruption is a real recipe for disaster.

    I am sure majority of NRI's did not tak a deep look at economic and political scenarios before making decision on buying realty in India. I was shocked to hear one builder with such convincing tone, saying buy it now or you will loose the chance. After a week, he increased the price by 2% and told us that there is a huge demand and he already sold 20 units in 5 days since we talked to him. Hard to believe. I later heard that he is still selling units to NRI's :) and tells them same story.

    That triggered me to do some research and study the situation in that country and when I try to connect the dots.. jeez its scary. It seems they do not consider capacity of drainage, sewer and waste disposal in the area to support increased usage in their project building these flats which will house 100's of new families. Public water supply pipes are also not expanded around the development area to cater increased demand and consumption. Builders just connect water pipes to the nearest public water supply point. God knows when, that public water supply pipes were layed and to support how much consumption? Water preasure in these buildings are 0 and you just see drops :) Solution to this, Builder says its a common norm that all occupants will buy the water and share the cost.

    I am not throwing the my small savings to gamble in India. If you get a good deal, go for it or just wait for a correction. Now the question is what is a good deal in given circumstances? If the rotation slow down, investment locks up, poor local PPP with make credit expensive and preasure will build on borrowers to liquidate property which will lead to fall in prices. We can even expect a credit crisis in India in next couple of years.

    Do not even compare effect of credit crisis in US to if at all it is going to happen in India. US is still the strongest economy and India is not. (I am not talking about growth rate here but the depth)




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  • skv
    06-18 01:13 PM
    goes to automated voicemail:mad: :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad:


    B'cox, they are receiving lots of call recently due to PD movement. :-)

    Hope they will respond, if you had left a voice mail.




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  • eb3_nepa
    07-05 01:19 PM
    People Instead of "PREDICTING" what will happen in Oct 2007, Call and FAX Now!!

    My local Congressman's office was very sympathetic and will look into it. Unless you make a noise, no one will hear you or even care.




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  • cheg
    07-23 05:53 PM
    You're very observant. :) My husband depends on me to know our case. I'm H4 so all I do is read updates on immigration. I got addicted to IV! :D

    I wonder what will happen with our cases. My husband has a PD Oct 2003, EB2 ROW, but thanks to PBEC, it got approved in Jan 2007. Our RD is March 2007, TSC, concurrent. Got AP in April and EAD in May. No LUD on 485 after FP, 04/25/2007.

    One more question: How many wives are here? It looks like some guys would rather let this matter to the ladies to handle.:D



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  • hiralal
    05-29 12:05 AM
    if your loan is denied while on EAD ..count yourself as lucky !!!
    my advice ..be careful before you take a plunge when on EAD or on temporary visa (H1).
    -----------------
    MONDAY, MAY 25, 2009
    OTHER VOICES
    The Housing Hurricane Will Howl Again
    By MIKE MORGAN | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR
    This is only a lull in the housing hurricane.

    WE'RE OUT OF THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE, but here comes the back half of the storm. A lot of people think that we've seen the worst of the housing crisis. They're talking about green shoots and glimmers of hope, when they should be back in the storm shelter, preparing for a flood of inventory that will overwhelm the markets and produce another round of falling prices

    For the past few months there has been a semi-moratorium on foreclosures. Most institutions with delinquent mortgages didn't foreclose. The signs that blanket many neighborhoods have been posted by a fraction of the lenders. Now the rest of the banks are rushing to get their properties on the market.
    [ov]
    Christoph Hitz for Barron's
    We're still supporting misguided programs that only add to inventory woes. They encourage builders to put up more homes and penalize anyone else trying to sell a home.

    As a Florida real-estate broker who works with bank asset managers to dispose of foreclosed properties, I get a good view of this market. From December 2008 through mid-March 2009, the number of asset managers calling to discuss REO (real estate owned) properties on their client banks' books dropped by more than 80% from the level at which it previously had been running. In the past two months, however, asset managers have been busy, with most interested in how many properties we could handle at once.

    Law firms for banks are once again lining up to file foreclosures and to process evictions. The asset managers we work with have warned us to expect a flood of properties, beginning in early June. This will hit as the number of potential buyers continues to dwindle. Builders, traditional sellers and investors who entered too early are already loaded with REO properties.

    ALL OF THE OBAMA administration's attempts to revive, resuscitate and shock the housing markets into recovery have failed. Potential buyers can't purchase homes when they are losing their jobs, regardless of how attractive the credits and mortgages are. The price of homes will continue to fall until the properties are affordable for potential buyers.

    If an investor could purchase a home and rent it out for close to breakeven, we might be getting close to a bottom. But we are nowhere close to that level in most critical markets. Until it is approached, prices will continue to fall. In fact, the negative cash flow now evident, along with the flood of properties coming into the inventory pool, warn of lower prices.

    There's no light at the end of the tunnel yet. We're still supporting builders through misguided programs that are only adding to the inventory woes. California decided to offer a $10,000 credit to buyers of new homes, on top of the $8,000 federal credit. But California made the $10,000 available only for new homes purchased directly from builders. That shows the power of the builders' lobby, but it only adds to California's housing-industry problem. It encourages builders to construct dwellings we don't need, and it penalizes anyone else trying to sell a home.

    Housing inventory soon will flood a market in which more than 500,000 homes are being built each year, even though the annual sales pace for new homes is closer to 300,000. We must also deal with a system clogged with impossible short sales, a surge of second and vacation homes being dumped, and third-wave flippers realizing that they entered the market too soon.

    FOR THE BANKS, the back half of the hurricane will destroy balance sheets, unless the Obama administration comes up with another plan to mythically mark these assets on the books. Or we might see some chimerical plan to write down mortgage payments, or move toxic mortgages into a dark pool, or create some new illusion that glosses over the problem.

    Our experience with banks' selling REOs is they realize about 50%-75% of what they initially think they will get. Moreover, their expenses to bring these properties to market and manage them are growing. Court systems bogged down with foreclosures are raising fees so that they can hire additional staff. More and more homeowners being evicted are stripping homes to the bone, removing appliances, fixtures, carpet, cabinets, air handlers, motorized garage-door openers and anything else that they can carry off or sell.

    Unemployment presents a two-pronged problem. If homeowners lose their jobs, they have difficulty meeting mortgage payments. And a high jobless rate forces more people to put their homes on the market.

    During the housing bubble, many second homes were purchased with the mythical equity from primary residences. These second homes are coming onto the market at an alarming rate, as many middle- and upper-class sellers need to raise cash. In some very exclusive private communities in Florida, where home prices are in the seven figures, more than 50% of the homes are on the market. (For more on the vacation-home market, see Cover Story.)

    Unfortunately, there are no signs of recovery, despite the hype and the twisting of numbers in many media reports. The end of the unofficial moratorium on foreclosures, combined with rising unemployment, signals that the back half of this housing hurricane is only just beginning.




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  • gcpain
    04-25 04:41 PM
    This is good for everybody and solve lot of problems.



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  • Jaime
    09-12 03:12 PM
    Bump




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  • ramus
    09-09 11:50 AM
    Thanks a lot.. Wish you could come to rally but understand your prior commitement...

    Thank you..



    Paypal contribution of $300. I cannot make it to the rally because of prior commitments. Thanks to all who are going to be at the rally in person.

    I feel good after making the contribution. Hopefully, several others will join this contribution drive and experience this good feeling first hand.

    Good luck to all.



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  • chiku_singhal
    09-11 09:37 PM
    enrolled in recurring 50$ as first contribution..

    great job guys...thanks for your sincere efforts

    i dont browse much..so may not be looking until rally day.
    i might not come as its too short notice for me to plan .




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  • akkakarla
    07-05 05:32 PM
    Do you have your 485 approved ? If not, you are not supposed to contribute to any political campaigns. You have to be a GC holder or citizen to contribute to political campaigns. Its illegal otherwise.

    Well, I don't know what is happening with my I485. I took my Infopass appointment early morning 7.15 AM on July 2nd. My Priority date became current(PD-11/08/2004). I was quite happy that it became current. Our applications are with San Jose Local Office. We completed our interview on October 2005. At the time of our interview our priority date is not current and no visa number available. The IO said that whenever our PD becomes current they will approve our case and send the mail in card. We moved to San Jose and our case files are transferred from South Portland Maine to San Jose.

    Long story short, we went to San Jose office and told the IO that our Priority date became current and he has the VB that has all categories current.He said that he is going to pull the files out of inventory room and send to the IO the same day and he will approve it. We are aware of the fact that VB is going to change. So not sure how to take the information given to us. Will they approve as he said? or will they take it out and wipe the dust off and put it back for dust to collect again. I am disappointed, angry, helplessness. It is just 1 hour work that is all it takes to approve and I am waiting for past 2 years. Anybody in the same boat?? What can i expect from the response. What should i infer - approve or dust collection. Anyways my company is asking me to relocate to Beijing or Mainz so I will consider seriously after consulting with my wife.

    Logiclife, I had contributed before for Senator Kerry campaign in 2004 too. I don't think that is wrong is there?



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  • learning01
    04-25 05:33 PM
    Employer-> Job -> No candidates -> H1 visa -> H1 candiate
    OR
    H1 candidate -> H1 visa -> Employer -> Job -> No Candidate

    You are turning the basic premise upside down. H1B transfer becomes a reality.
    Rather, you should ask, employee-petitioned H1 transfer in adition to Employer-petitioned H1 transfer. What say you?
    Ans 1) Fairness...H1-B transfer becomes a reality...One can look for better Job oppurtunities...otherwise why even allow H1-B transfer when there are hidden GC related problems.
    Ans 2) It should be applied to new AOS applications only.




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  • sledge_hammer
    03-04 02:17 PM
    1. Did you pay for points?
    2. When did you lock?
    3. Who is your lender?

    I am on H1 and AOS and I refinanced my house at 5% . There were no issues and no questions. Just all the usual documents - W2 , paystubs etc etc . It was with a local bank too and not with any high profile institution.



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  • Gravitation
    12-05 03:40 PM
    I'm getting MBA from Babson College in MA (top25). The total cost is $60K in just tuition. My employer pays appx. half of it.


    It's a huge investment of not just money but time as well. You have no life for three years.



    It's very rewarding to learn so many different subjects: Economy, Marketing, Accounting, Law, Leadership, Finance, Technology management, Organizational Behavior. I reach classes tired but come out fresh. It really broadens one's thinking.



    I got my B. Tech. from India. It's great to have American Classroom experience.



    Great Networking.


    I still have 30 years of professional life ahead of me to use knowledge/expertise gained from MBA. I wouldn't trade this experience for anything.

    Due to demographic shift in US, large shortage of middle-management is expected in coming decades. MBA can provide a real leg-up in career advancement.

    At the same time... I can totally see when some people just go through the motions to get their MBA and do nothing with it. Don't approach it like just a degree. If you are committed to learning new skills, using them and improving yourself just a little everyday... Go for MBA.

    Also, don't expect big bucks immediately following MBA. Class knowledge , combined with some experience afterwards will actually provide super returns. Most of the studies that look at salary increment right after MBA will come up with -v e RoI.

    In a nutshell, there are many factors to consider in a decision about getting an MBA degree; tuition expense is not the biggest one. If you have any desire to get MBA, don't let others dissuade you.




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  • diptam
    08-13 05:19 PM
    Everytime i Open IV this Non-value added thread rolls up in the Top.

    Why dont you close this - Unnecessary arguments are wasting everyone's Time !!


    please direct your energy to more useful directions, volunteer, contribute and join the rally in DC on 9/18. join your state chapters. complete your profile on iv- what's the point of so much smoke and fire when you want to hide from everyone- your profile is not public, but iv needs you. you and i are iv. there is no iv but us. if you believe there is some nebulous entity that will magically solve your problems without your lifting a finger, well that's usually the stuff of dreams- and maybe your GC will arrive tonight with your beauty sleep...



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  • sanju
    04-30 04:25 PM
    For all those who are upset with the House hearing, please take it easy. Please do not expect the hearing to discuss the details of each and every GC applicant's case. The objective of the hearing was to bring the folks involved in visa bulletins and GC processing, and make them all publically say and agree that Lofgren-Sensenbrenner bill will not flood the country with new people on the borders but at the same time since the federal agencies did not do their job properly, so it would make sense to recapture the visa numbers, and that's it.

    I think that this objective was achieved pretty handsomely without much opposition. So everybody was on the same page, other than Ranking member King, whose job in such meetings is to oppose whatever the committee chair is proposing. Rep. King did not have much to say as Rep. Sensenbrenner has co-sponsored the bill. Noticeably, Rep. Gutierrez supported the bill, which means Hispanic Caucus may not oppose it either, hopefully. So it was all good.




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  • Edison99
    04-18 09:10 AM
    Congrats eb3july2003! Enjoy freedom....



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  • gccube
    07-18 03:55 PM
    That requires sorting of the application by PD. But the SOP does not mention anywhere about the PD Sorting. I am sorry for you guys.

    Assuming that the PD cut off date for a specific stream is 2004 Aug and there are still visa nos available but there are not enough application (can this ever happen for real) what are they going to do? They move the PD further up and whenever the pool is depleting they move it back again?

    Assuming they move back the PD to 2000 after they ran out of the nos they start accepting AOS apps for that PD but they donot look at them (for adjudication) until the queue before is cleared based on the receipt date.

    In such a case the PD lost all it's significance once the adjustment of status if filed?

    If receipt date is the only significant date after AOS is filed then retrogressing to a specified date does not make sense as there is no need to accept new applications if they are not going to work on them and particularly when they know the current size of the queue.

    Or May be I am missing something......




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  • JazzByTheBay
    12-15 06:32 PM
    Wishful thinking aside - realistically speaking, it's zilch. As USCIS seems to have predicted, even with spillover implemented the PD isn't moving to 2006 any time soon.

    jazz

    What are the chances for the PD moving to Mid 2007 by end of 2010 ? :(




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  • milind70
    07-11 11:15 AM
    Just did some stats on , did only for texas service center

    It appears that Notice Date is immaterial. As long as your PD is current.
    So, you dont need to worry, if your notice date is Oct 2007 and TX processing date still shows July 17th. They are approving the cases as long as your PD is current in PD order which makes sense.

    I see a case with Nov 12 2007 ND and PD of dec 2002 is approved.

    Dont expect any LUD's either, Only suprise email matters....welcome to america, card production ordered.....:D

    Yes that seems to be the case , I had a friend who could have applied in June 2007 but due to some documents issue applied in Aug 2007 under the July adjusted bulletin, his notice date was very recent but he suddenly got his GC(his PD was current). But he said no LUDs or anyhting of that sort just recieved the magical email one fine day. His case was at Texas Service Center. His PD was Oct 2002 EB2.




    IN2US
    07-06 03:26 PM
    you mean 60k

    I meant janitors approving 485 applications




    rajuseattle
    03-07 02:08 AM
    Usually shusterman.com is very reliable source for the immigration related news, but i still cant believe that Shusterman received call from Hillary Cinton (Secretory of State). Shusterman is the ex-USCIS (legacy INS) attorney, but that doesnt mean he knows Hillary Clinton personally...unless he is her campaign chair or so in California while she was running against Obama in the Democratic primary race for the US president.

    So either this is his plot to garner more subscribers for his website or some kind of news thro' AILA ,but he mentions it as a news from Hillary.

    If this information stands true then EB3-I will be U for rest of the year.

    It looks like majority of skilled indians who were in the US around April 2001 end up using the 245(i) provision and use the Bush amnesty. Else their is no other logic that the dates are not moving further to OCt 2001 for EB3-India.

    Another reason could be the flood of H1Bs during the period of 2001 to 2004, labor substitution practices allowed until the July 2007.

    Most of those labors came out of backlong centre prior to July 2007 and folks were able to file their I-140 and I-485 concurrent during July 2007 visagate.

    Labor certification was pending 4 years in BeC and now who knows how many more years in the PD retrogression. Due to current economic conditions, dont see any ray of hope to change the plight of EB-3 india.

    Obama gave some hopes during his campaign, but looks like politicians surrounding him will not let him do anything good for legal immigrants. I hope he take some positive action on the comments we made on his website when he seek public opinion/ideas on how to deal with the broken legal immigration system



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